Description

This analysis provides a forecast of XLM prices using a Seasonal ARIMA model with Box-Cox transformation. The forecast includes different scenarios:

The confidence levels used are 68%, 95%, and 99.7%, which means there is a corresponding probability that the actual price will fall within the Bear and Bull case range for each confidence level.

The purpose of this model is to help investors understand potential future price movements and make informed decisions based on different market scenarios.

Bear_0.997 Bear_0.95 Bear_0.68 Base Bull_0.68 Bull_0.95 Bull_0.997
2025-11-23 0.169165 0.193140 0.219895 0.252072 0.289862 0.333002 0.386221
2025-11-30 0.133190 0.165363 0.204971 0.257809 0.327179 0.416173 0.540641
2025-12-07 0.108657 0.143038 0.188411 0.253664 0.346750 0.477329 0.679014
2025-12-14 0.093867 0.129423 0.179022 0.254856 0.370759 0.546155 0.841537
2025-12-21 0.082675 0.118433 0.170673 0.254787 0.391201 0.611829 1.013362
2025-12-28 0.075476 0.111891 0.167352 0.260990 0.421457 0.697822 1.239925
2026-01-04 0.069082 0.105531 0.163123 0.264557 0.447276 0.780684 1.482284
2026-01-11 0.063795 0.100141 0.159523 0.268266 0.473485 0.869008 1.759731
2026-01-18 0.059870 0.096423 0.158073 0.275273 0.506681 0.977385 2.112113
2026-01-25 0.055536 0.091473 0.153798 0.276281 0.528130 1.066151 2.447539
2026-02-01 0.051568 0.086696 0.149203 0.275876 0.546417 1.151854 2.803696
2026-02-08 0.047818 0.081902 0.143985 0.273407 0.559731 1.229060 3.164231
2026-02-15 0.044166 0.076996 0.138144 0.269127 0.568976 1.300559 3.541495
2026-02-22 0.042157 0.074957 0.137593 0.275938 0.605210 1.449196 4.215624
2026-03-01 0.039158 0.070734 0.132255 0.271559 0.613842 1.527751 4.699229
2026-03-08 0.037034 0.068007 0.129633 0.272868 0.636910 1.652443 5.402692
2026-03-15 0.034985 0.065233 0.126605 0.272796 0.656435 1.772488 6.151194
2026-03-22 0.033706 0.063893 0.126452 0.279514 0.695578 1.963803 7.292617
2026-03-29 0.032290 0.062137 0.125206 0.283379 0.727668 2.142851 8.493570
2026-04-05 0.030994 0.060518 0.124085 0.287397 0.761153 2.337680 9.899608
2026-04-12 0.030045 0.059550 0.124329 0.294990 0.807142 2.592673 11.798332
2026-04-19 0.028721 0.057654 0.122237 0.296083 0.833281 2.783786 13.506305
2026-04-26 0.027399 0.055654 0.119708 0.295643 0.854554 2.964210 15.307591